benchgap
Calibration

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index → ARC-AGI-1

ARC-AGI-1 is estimated from Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index with a Hill curve fitted on 32 models measured on both: y = 0.0000 + (0.9521 − 0.0000)·x^5.35 / (0.19692^5.35 + x^5.35), R² = 0.81, cross-validated error 5.4 pp. It is used for 128 estimates.

Estimated modelArtificial Analysis Intelligence IndexARC-AGI-1Source
Apodex 1.126.4%78.8%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Apodex 1.1 Mini26.4%78.8%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Celeris-16.4%0.2%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Claude 3 Haiku5.6%0.1%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Claude 3 Opus8.7%1.2%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Claude 4.1 Opus18.6%40.2%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Claude 4.1 Opus Thinking22.9%65.6%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Claude 4 Sonnet16.6%27.3%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Claude Opus 4.523.7%69.4%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Claude Opus 4.730.9%87.4%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Command A+22.5%63.9%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
DeepSeek-R113.1%9.7%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
DeepSeek R1 Distill Qwen 32B8.4%1.0%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
DeepSeek V38.5%1.0%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
DeepSeek V3 03249.7%2.1%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
DeepSeek V3.113.7%12.0%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
DeepSeek V3.1 (Reasoning)13.5%11.1%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
DeepSeek V3.216.0%23.8%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Exaone 4.0 1.2B5.2%0.1%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Exaone 4.0 32B6.3%0.2%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Gemini 1.0 Pro5.3%0.1%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Gemini 1.5 Pro7.9%0.7%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash9.9%2.3%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Gemini 2.5 Pro16.1%24.1%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite22.2%62.2%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Gemini 3 Flash17.9%35.9%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Gemma 3 27B4.9%0.1%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Gemma 4 E2B7.8%0.7%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Gemma 4 E4B8.9%1.3%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
GLM-4.5-Air11.1%4.2%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
GLM-4.614.9%17.6%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
GLM-4.722.2%62.6%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
GLM-5.344.8%94.1%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
GLM-5.3-Flash41.8%93.5%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
GLM-5-Turbo26.6%79.3%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
GLM-5V-Turbo23.5%68.6%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
GPT-4.112.7%8.3%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
GPT-4.1 mini10.2%2.7%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
GPT-4.1 nano7.8%0.7%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
GPT-4 Turbo7.0%0.4%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
GPT-4o8.4%1.0%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
GPT-4o mini6.7%0.3%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
GPT-5.1-Codex23.7%69.4%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
GPT-5.1-Codex-Max23.7%69.4%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
GPT-5.2-Codex28.5%83.6%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
GPT-5.3 Codex32.5%89.1%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
GPT-5 (high)23.0%66.2%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
GPT-5 (medium)22.9%65.7%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
GPT-OSS 120B11.6%5.3%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
GPT-OSS 20B9.0%1.4%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Granite-4.0-350M4.8%0.1%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Granite-4.0-H-1B5.2%0.1%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Granite-4.0-H-350M4.8%0.1%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Granite 4.2 30B14.8%17.1%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Granite 4.2 3B9.1%1.5%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Granite 4.2 8B11.1%4.2%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Grok 422.5%63.8%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Grok 4.1 Fast11.3%4.6%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Grok 4.1 Fast (Reasoning)20.4%51.9%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Grok 4.337.6%92.3%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Grok 4.746.5%94.3%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Grok 4 Fast (Reasoning)17.9%36.0%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Grok Code Fast 114.1%13.5%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Hy325.3%75.5%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
K-Exaone14.4%14.9%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Kimi K212.7%8.4%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Kimi K2.5 (Reasoning)23.5%68.4%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Kimi K2.7 Code25.8%77.1%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
LFM2.5-2.6B8.4%1.0%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
LFM2.5-8B-A1B7.2%0.4%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
LFM2.5-VL-1.6B-Extract4.8%0.1%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Ling 2.6 Flash14.1%13.4%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Ling 3.0 Flash VL24.6%72.9%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Ling 3.0 Tiny11.1%4.2%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Ling 3.1 Flash41.1%93.4%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Llama 3.1 405B7.3%0.5%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Llama 4 Maverick10.0%2.5%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Llama 4 Scout8.1%0.8%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
MiMo-V2.6-Flash37.9%92.4%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
MiMo-V2.6-Pro46.3%94.2%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
MiMo-V2-Flash16.1%23.9%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
MiMo-V2-Omni23.9%70.4%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
MiMo-V2-Pro28.6%83.9%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
MiniMax M329.2%84.9%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Mistral Large 27.6%0.6%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Mistral Large 39.3%1.7%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Mistral Large 438.4%92.6%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Mistral Medium 39.0%1.5%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Mistral Medium 3.5 128B14.2%14.1%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Mistral Small 411.3%4.6%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Mistral Small 4 (Reasoning)11.3%4.6%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Muse Glimmer 30B17.5%32.9%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Muse Spark 1.239.6%93.0%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Muse Spark 1.348.1%94.4%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Nemotron 3 Nano 30B8.9%1.3%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Nemotron 3 Super 100B12.8%8.7%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Nemotron Ultra 253B7.5%0.6%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
North Mini Code9.9%2.4%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Nova Pro7.0%0.4%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
o115.2%19.2%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
o1-preview11.4%4.8%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
o1-pro12.4%7.5%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
o320.2%50.8%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
o3-mini12.5%7.6%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
o3-pro21.9%60.6%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Phi-45.9%0.2%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Phi-4 Multimodal Instruct5.8%0.1%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Quasar 438B26.7%79.7%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Qwen2.5 Coder 32B Instruct6.7%0.3%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Qwen3.5-122B-A10B15.6%21.1%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Qwen3.5-27B22.9%65.8%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Qwen3.5-35B-A3B19.3%45.2%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Qwen3.5 397B21.4%58.3%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Qwen3.5 397B (Reasoning)21.4%58.3%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Qwen3.6-27B21.4%58.2%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Qwen3.6-35B-A3B18.2%37.9%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Qwen 3.6 Max (preview)28.4%83.4%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Qwen3.6 Plus27.0%80.4%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Qwen3.8 Max Preview45.4%94.1%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Qwen3 Max15.6%21.3%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Qwen3-Omni-30B-A3B-Instruct6.0%0.2%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Qwen3-Omni-30B-A3B-Thinking7.8%0.6%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Sarvam 105B8.8%1.3%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Sarvam 30B6.6%0.3%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Solar Pro 27.0%0.4%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Solar Pro 37.8%0.7%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Step 3.7 Flash19.5%46.2%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence
Ultravox v0.6 Llama 3.3 70B7.7%0.6%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence