benchgap
Calibration

SuperGPQA → AA-GPQA Diamond

AA-GPQA Diamond is estimated from SuperGPQA with a offset logistic curve fitted on 16 models measured on both: y = 0.7020 + (0.8630 − 0.7020) / (1 + exp(−37.01·(x − 0.5912))), R² = 0.60, cross-validated error 5.0 pp. It is used for 4 estimates.

Estimated modelSuperGPQAAA-GPQA DiamondSource
MiniCPM5-1B23.1%70.2%estimated ± 5.0 pp, low confidence
Qwen3 235B 250762.6%82.8%estimated ± 5.0 pp, medium confidence
Seed 2.1 Pro70.8%86.1%estimated ± 5.0 pp, medium confidence
Seed 2.1 Turbo67.4%85.6%estimated ± 5.0 pp, medium confidence