Calibration
GDP.pdf → AA-AnalystAgent
AA-AnalystAgent is estimated from GDP.pdf with a Hill curve fitted on 10 models measured on both: y = 0.0491 + (0.5473 − 0.0491)·x^4.81 / (0.14199^4.81 + x^4.81), R² = 0.94, cross-validated error 6.5 pp. It is used for 4 estimates.
| Estimated model | GDP.pdf | AA-AnalystAgent | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Luna | 22.8% | 50.1% | estimated ± 6.5 pp, medium confidence |
| Grok 4.7 | 20.0% | 46.7% | estimated ± 6.5 pp, medium confidence |
| MiMo-V2.6-Pro | 19.2% | 45.3% | estimated ± 6.5 pp, medium confidence |
| Mistral Large 4 | 18.6% | 44.0% | estimated ± 6.5 pp, medium confidence |