Calibration

HMMT Nov 2025 → HMMT Feb 2025

Name: benchgap: LLM benchmark scores, measured and estimated
Creator: benchgap

HMMT Feb 2025 is estimated from HMMT Nov 2025 with a Michaelis–Menten curve fitted on 7 models measured on both: y = 2.0000·x / (1.03287 + x), R² = 0.62, cross-validated error 1.6 pp. It is used for 2 estimates.

Estimated model	HMMT Nov 2025	HMMT Feb 2025	Source
GLM-5.1	94.0%	95.3%	estimated ± 1.6 pp, medium confidence
GLM-5.2	94.4%	95.5%	estimated ± 1.6 pp, medium confidence