Calibration
HMMT Feb 2025 → AIME26
AIME26 is estimated from HMMT Feb 2025 with a Michaelis–Menten curve fitted on 7 models measured on both: y = 1.5483·x / (0.60193 + x), R² = 0.54, cross-validated error 1.0 pp. It is used for 3 estimates.
| Estimated model | HMMT Feb 2025 | AIME26 | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Granite 4.2 30B | 89.2% | 92.4% | estimated ± 1.0 pp, low confidence |
| Granite 4.2 3B | 66.7% | 81.4% | estimated ± 1.0 pp, low confidence |
| Granite 4.2 8B | 78.3% | 87.5% | estimated ± 1.0 pp, low confidence |