benchgap
Calibration

HLE w/o tools → GPQA

GPQA is estimated from HLE w/o tools with a linear curve fitted on 25 models measured on both: y = 0.3619·x + 0.7702, R² = 0.86, cross-validated error 2.1 pp. It is used for 3 estimates.

Estimated modelHLE w/o toolsGPQASource
Claude Haiku 5.545.9%93.6%estimated ± 2.1 pp, high confidence
Gemma 4 26B A4B8.7%80.2%estimated ± 2.1 pp, high confidence
Pareto 26.949.0%94.8%estimated ± 2.1 pp, high confidence