benchgap
Calibration

HLE w/o tools → Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is estimated from HLE w/o tools with a Hill curve fitted on 28 models measured on both: y = 0.1345 + (1.2000 − 0.1345)·x^2.15 / (0.77511^2.15 + x^2.15), R² = 0.85, cross-validated error 5.1 pp. It is used for 11 estimates.

Estimated modelHLE w/o toolsArtificial Analysis Intelligence IndexSource
Claude Mythos 559.0%51.5%estimated ± 5.1 pp, medium confidence
Grok 4.2031.6%26.9%estimated ± 5.1 pp, medium confidence
Ornith-1.5-35B-A3B25.6%22.4%estimated ± 5.1 pp, medium confidence
Ornith-1.5-397B44.6%38.3%estimated ± 5.1 pp, medium confidence
Ornith-1.5-9B20.2%19.0%estimated ± 5.1 pp, medium confidence
Pareto 26.949.0%42.4%estimated ± 5.1 pp, medium confidence
Qwen3.8 Max43.6%37.4%estimated ± 5.1 pp, medium confidence
Beam36.2%30.8%estimated ± 5.1 pp, medium confidence
Sakana Fugu47.2%40.7%estimated ± 5.1 pp, medium confidence
Sakana Fugu-Ultra50.0%43.3%estimated ± 5.1 pp, medium confidence
Solar Open 228.8%24.8%estimated ± 5.1 pp, medium confidence