Calibration
GPQA → AA-HLE
AA-HLE is estimated from GPQA with a inverse Michaelis–Menten curve fitted on 61 models measured on both: y = 0.10129·(x − 0.3649) / (0.3649 + 0.7010 − x), R² = 0.85, cross-validated error 6.5 pp. It is used for 3 estimates.
| Estimated model | GPQA | AA-HLE | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude 3.5 Sonnet | 59.4% | 4.9% | estimated ± 6.5 pp, medium confidence |
| LFM2.5-VL-450M | 25.7% | 0.0% | estimated ± 6.5 pp, low confidence |
| Qwen3 235B 2507 | 77.5% | 14.3% | estimated ± 6.5 pp, medium confidence |