Calibration
CyberGym → AA Agentic Index
AA Agentic Index is estimated from CyberGym with a inverse Michaelis–Menten curve fitted on 10 models measured on both: y = 0.34244·(x − 0.0000) / (0.0000 + 1.4295 − x), R² = 0.78, cross-validated error 5.8 pp. It is used for 6 estimates.
| Estimated model | CyberGym | AA Agentic Index | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atria Dawn Preview | 86.5% | 52.5% | estimated ± 5.8 pp, low confidence |
| Claude Mythos 5 | 83.8% | 48.5% | estimated ± 5.8 pp, medium confidence |
| Claude Mythos Preview | 83.1% | 47.5% | estimated ± 5.8 pp, medium confidence |
| Gemini 3.5 Flash Cyber | 83.2% | 47.7% | estimated ± 5.8 pp, medium confidence |
| Gemini 3.8 Flash Cyber | 86.2% | 52.0% | estimated ± 5.8 pp, low confidence |
| Fugu Cyber | 86.9% | 53.1% | estimated ± 5.8 pp, low confidence |