benchgap
Calibration

ApprenticeBench → CyberGym

CyberGym is estimated from ApprenticeBench with a linear curve fitted on 7 models measured on both: y = 0.7735·x + 0.6707, R² = 0.76, cross-validated error 5.0 pp. It is used for 4 estimates.

Estimated modelApprenticeBenchCyberGymSource
Claude Fable 534.0%93.4%estimated ± 5.0 pp, low confidence
Claude Opus 4.77.0%72.5%estimated ± 5.0 pp, medium confidence
Gemini 3.8 Flash24.0%85.6%estimated ± 5.0 pp, medium confidence
Grok 4.613.0%77.1%estimated ± 5.0 pp, medium confidence