benchgap
Calibration

Terminal-Bench Hard → Terminal-Bench 2.1 (Vals AI)

Terminal-Bench 2.1 (Vals AI) is estimated from Terminal-Bench Hard with a Hill curve fitted on 14 models measured on both: y = 0.5082 + (1.2000 − 0.5082)·x^6.00 / (0.66194^6.00 + x^6.00), R² = 0.80, cross-validated error 5.4 pp. It is used for 9 estimates.

Estimated modelTerminal-Bench HardTerminal-Bench 2.1 (Vals AI)Source
GPT-5.457.6%71.8%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Claude Opus 4.648.5%60.1%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Claude Opus 4.5 Thinking47.0%58.7%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
GPT-5.247.0%58.7%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
GPT-5.145.5%57.4%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Muse Spark45.5%57.4%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Qwen 3.6 Max (preview)43.9%56.2%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
GLM-543.2%55.8%estimated ± 5.4 pp, medium confidence
Solar Open 228.3%51.2%estimated ± 5.4 pp, low confidence

Fitted on

ModelTerminal-Bench HardTerminal-Bench 2.1 (Vals AI)
Claude Fable 562.9%80.5%
Claude Opus 4.754.5%68.5%
Claude Opus 4.858.3%71.9%
Gemini 3.1 Pro53.8%70.8%
GLM-5.250.8%67.8%
GPT-5.4 mini52.3%54.7%
GPT-5.560.6%76.4%
GPT-5.6 Sol65.9%85.8%
Kimi K2.643.9%53.6%
Kimi K2.7 Code44.7%67.0%
MiMo-V2.5-Pro43.2%57.3%
Qwen3.6 Plus43.9%53.2%
Qwen3.7 Max50.8%61.0%
Qwen3.7 Plus47.0%52.8%