benchgap
Calibration

SuperGPQA → MMLU-Redux

MMLU-Redux is estimated from SuperGPQA with a Michaelis–Menten curve fitted on 9 models measured on both: y = 1.1441·x / (0.14541 + x), R² = 0.99, cross-validated error 0.9 pp. It is used for 2 estimates.

Estimated modelSuperGPQAMMLU-ReduxSource
Seed 2.1 Pro70.8%94.9%estimated ± 0.9 pp, high confidence
Seed 2.1 Turbo67.4%94.1%estimated ± 0.9 pp, high confidence

Fitted on

ModelSuperGPQAMMLU-Redux
Claude Opus 4.570.6%96.6%
Kimi K2.569.2%94.5%
MiniCPM5-1B23.1%70.1%
MiniCPM5-2B40.8%84.7%
Qwen3.5 397B70.4%94.9%
Qwen3.6-27B66.0%93.5%
Qwen3.6 Plus71.6%94.5%
Qwen3.7 Max73.6%95.0%
Qwen3.7 Plus71.4%94.5%