benchgap
Calibration

SuperGPQA → C-Eval

C-Eval is estimated from SuperGPQA with a Hill curve fitted on 6 models measured on both: y = 0.0000 + (0.9732 − 0.0000)·x^6.00 / (0.42105^6.00 + x^6.00), R² = 0.71, cross-validated error 1.0 pp. It is used for 4 estimates.

Estimated modelSuperGPQAC-EvalSource
Seed 2.1 Pro70.8%93.2%estimated ± 1.0 pp, medium confidence
Seed 2.1 Turbo67.4%91.9%estimated ± 1.0 pp, medium confidence
Qwen3.5-122B-A10B67.1%91.7%estimated ± 1.0 pp, medium confidence
Qwen3 235B 250762.6%89.1%estimated ± 1.0 pp, low confidence

Fitted on

ModelSuperGPQAC-Eval
Claude Opus 4.570.6%92.2%
Kimi K2.569.2%94.0%
Qwen3.5 397B70.4%93.0%
Qwen3.6-27B66.0%91.4%
Qwen3.6-35B-A3B64.7%90.0%
Qwen3.6 Plus71.6%93.3%