Calibration
SuperGPQA → AA-HLE
AA-HLE is estimated from SuperGPQA with a offset logistic curve fitted on 17 models measured on both: y = 0.0801 + (0.2669 − 0.0801) / (1 + exp(−70.54·(x − 0.6260))), R² = 0.44, cross-validated error 7.6 pp. It is used for 2 estimates.
| Estimated model | SuperGPQA | AA-HLE | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seed 2.1 Pro | 70.8% | 26.6% | estimated ± 7.6 pp, low confidence |
| Seed 2.1 Turbo | 67.4% | 26.1% | estimated ± 7.6 pp, low confidence |
Fitted on
| Model | SuperGPQA | AA-HLE |
|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.5 | 70.6% | 13.2% |
| Claude Opus 4.6 | 95.0% | 19.1% |
| Claude Sonnet 4.6 | 95.0% | 13.3% |
| GLM-5 | 66.8% | 29.3% |
| Kimi K2 | 57.2% | 7.4% |
| Kimi K2.5 | 69.2% | 30.7% |
| MiniCPM5-2B | 40.8% | 8.9% |
| Qwen3.5-122B-A10B | 67.1% | 25.2% |
| Qwen3.5-27B | 65.6% | 23.9% |
| Qwen3.5-35B-A3B | 63.4% | 21.0% |
| Qwen3.5 397B | 70.4% | 29.0% |
| Qwen3.6-27B | 66.0% | 23.1% |
| Qwen3.6-35B-A3B | 64.7% | 22.2% |
| Qwen 3.6 Max (preview) | 73.9% | 30.8% |
| Qwen3.6 Plus | 71.6% | 27.8% |
| Qwen3.7 Max | 73.6% | 40.5% |
| Qwen3.7 Plus | 71.4% | 35.6% |