Calibration

WideResearch → Toolathlon

Name: benchgap: LLM benchmark scores, measured and estimated
Creator: benchgap

Toolathlon is estimated from WideResearch with a Hill curve fitted on 7 models measured on both: y = 0.1948 + (1.2000 − 0.1948)·x^6.00 / (0.94486^6.00 + x^6.00), R² = 0.71, cross-validated error 5.2 pp. It is used for 2 estimates.

Estimated model	WideResearch	Toolathlon	Source
Hy4 preview	83.9%	52.5%	estimated ± 5.2 pp, low confidence
Qwen3.8 Max	81.9%	49.4%	estimated ± 5.2 pp, low confidence