Calibration
Vals MMLU-Pro → GPQA
GPQA is estimated from Vals MMLU-Pro with a linear curve fitted on 24 models measured on both: y = 0.9549·x + 0.0770, R² = 0.77, cross-validated error 1.6 pp. It is used for 22 estimates.
| Estimated model | Vals MMLU-Pro | GPQA | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Fable 5 | 91.5% | 95.1% | estimated ± 1.6 pp, medium confidence |
| Claude Fable 5.1 | 92.4% | 95.9% | estimated ± 1.6 pp, medium confidence |
| Claude Haiku 4.5 | 78.7% | 82.9% | estimated ± 1.6 pp, high confidence |
| Claude Opus 4.7 | 89.9% | 93.5% | estimated ± 1.6 pp, medium confidence |
| Claude Sonnet 5 | 87.5% | 91.3% | estimated ± 1.6 pp, high confidence |
| Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite | 86.2% | 90.0% | estimated ± 1.6 pp, high confidence |
| Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite | 85.8% | 89.6% | estimated ± 1.6 pp, high confidence |
| Gemini 3.6 Flash | 89.3% | 93.0% | estimated ± 1.6 pp, high confidence |
| Gemini 3.7 Flash | 90.1% | 93.7% | estimated ± 1.6 pp, medium confidence |
| Gemini 3 Flash | 88.6% | 92.3% | estimated ± 1.6 pp, high confidence |
| GLM-4.5 | 81.2% | 85.2% | estimated ± 1.6 pp, high confidence |
| GLM-4.6 | 82.2% | 86.2% | estimated ± 1.6 pp, high confidence |
| GLM-5.3 | 86.8% | 90.6% | estimated ± 1.6 pp, high confidence |
| GLM-5.3-Flash | 86.1% | 89.9% | estimated ± 1.6 pp, high confidence |
| Laguna M.1 | 68.8% | 73.4% | estimated ± 1.6 pp, medium confidence |
| Laguna XS.2 | 69.1% | 73.7% | estimated ± 1.6 pp, medium confidence |
| MiMo-V2.5 | 82.9% | 86.9% | estimated ± 1.6 pp, high confidence |
| MiMo-V2.5-Pro | 84.6% | 88.5% | estimated ± 1.6 pp, high confidence |
| MiniMax M3 | 84.2% | 88.1% | estimated ± 1.6 pp, high confidence |
| Mistral Medium 3.5 128B | 75.3% | 79.6% | estimated ± 1.6 pp, medium confidence |
| Muse Spark 1.2 | 88.3% | 92.0% | estimated ± 1.6 pp, high confidence |
| Qwen3.5 Flash | 84.1% | 88.0% | estimated ± 1.6 pp, high confidence |