Calibration

SuperGPQA → MMLU-Pro

Name: benchgap: LLM benchmark scores, measured and estimated
Creator: benchgap

MMLU-Pro is estimated from SuperGPQA with a Michaelis–Menten + offset curve fitted on 17 models measured on both: y = 0.0000 + 1.1468·x / (0.24103 + x), R² = 0.76, cross-validated error 6.8 pp. It is used for 2 estimates.

Estimated model	SuperGPQA	MMLU-Pro	Source
Seed 2.1 Pro	70.8%	85.6%	estimated ± 6.8 pp, medium confidence
Seed 2.1 Turbo	67.4%	84.5%	estimated ± 6.8 pp, medium confidence